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New calculations increase estimated risk of a major Bay Area earthquake

United States
First seen: Sep 2, 2026, 12:16 PM UTCUpdated: Sep 2, 2026, 7:47 PM UTC

New calculations suggest a higher probability of a major earthquake affecting the San Francisco Bay Area, with risk varying by fault.

The finding highlights a potentially severe future hazard for a densely populated metropolitan region, though it is not an ongoing disaster.

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