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El Niño disrupts Peru fishing and Central American harvests in 2026

El Niño’s 2026 warming has driven anchovies away from Peru and damaged maize and bean harvests in parts of Central America. The disruption is affecting fishing jobs, farm incomes, water access and food prices.

By DoomRadar · Published on DoomRadar . Updated .

Geographic context

Places in the report

Honduras, GuatemalaHaitiDominican RepublicThe BahamasMexicoColombiaPanamaCosta RicaNicaraguaHondurasEl SalvadorGuatemalaBelizeVenezuelaJamaicaCubaHondurasGuatemala

Also mentioned: Peru [1]

Countries named in the cited reporting. Highlighting does not show the area affected. Map: Natural Earth.

How the effects could reach youConditional effectsConditional impact diagram. Reported development: El Niño disrupts Peru fishing and Central American harvests in 2026. shopping: Staple foods may remain more expensive in affected Central American markets. Only if: Crop losses persist and replacement supplies do not fully offset them. work: Fishing and farm incomes may weaken in affected communities. Only if: Warm coastal waters and drought continue to affect the relevant production areas. shopping: Anchovy-related supply chains may face reduced activity in Peru. Only if: Anchovy stocks remain scarce near the coast. These are possible effects, not probabilities or a forecast.
A possible pathway, conditional on the factors shown.Reported basis: [1]

Based on one source with available article excerpts. Source-linked claims are not independent confirmation.

Event date: The reported impacts occurred during 2026; Peru’s government ended the anchovy season on 19 August 2026. [1]

What happened

Peru recorded 32,800 tonnes of anchovies in May 2026, versus 1.3 million tonnes in May 2025. Industrial boats had already largely stopped fishing before the government ended the season on 19 August. [1]

References for this detail (1)

In parts of Central America, drought associated with the strengthening El Niño damaged maize and bean crops. Around 70,000 of 73,000 farms planting maize in the first 2026 cycle reported devastating harvests. [1]

References for this detail (1)

More than 23,000 households reported reduced access to water. The reported account also records basic-food price increases between July-August 2025 and the same period in 2026: 11% to 54% in Guatemala and 12% to 40% in Honduras. [1]

References for this detail (1)

El Niño is a recurring warming of much of the tropical Pacific that changes winds, rainfall and temperatures beyond the ocean. Its peak was expected toward the end of 2026, with the WMO putting the likelihood of continuation through February 2027 near 100%. [1]

References for this detail (1)
Explore the sources and reporting timeline

1 source links · 1 domains

These counts describe the references, not independent confirmations. Different outlets can repeat the same original report.

Source timeline

Oldest to newest among the available source dates, not a chronology of the incident. Article publication dates come from the source; other recorded dates may reflect when a link was found.

  1. Article published: Sep 12, 2026, 11:03 AM UTC[1] Before its peak, El Nino brings failed crops and empty fishing netsaol.co.ukReferenced for: detail 1, detail 2, detail 3, detail 4, detail 5

Questions answered by the reporting

What happened to Peru’s anchovy fishery?

Peru caught 32,800 tonnes in May 2026, compared with 1.3 million tonnes in May 2025, and the government ended the season on 19 August after boats had largely stopped operating. [1]

Which crops were affected in Central America?

Maize and bean crops were badly hit in the reported areas, with around 70,000 of 73,000 farms in the first 2026 maize cycle reporting devastating harvests. [1]

What this could mean for you

Prices & shopping

Staple foods may remain more expensive in affected Central American markets.

Damaged maize and bean harvests reduce local supply while household demand continues.

Reported basis: [1] · The possible effect is interpretation.

Depends on: Crop losses persist and replacement supplies do not fully offset them.

Possible time frame: months, if those conditions hold.

Work & business

Fishing and farm incomes may weaken in affected communities.

Anchovy displacement reduces fishing activity, while drought cuts harvests available for sale or household use.

Reported basis: [1] · The possible effect is interpretation.

Depends on: Warm coastal waters and drought continue to affect the relevant production areas.

Possible time frame: months, if those conditions hold.

Prices & shopping

Anchovy-related supply chains may face reduced activity in Peru.

The reported catch collapse and early season closure limit fishing and related processing operations.

Reported basis: [1] · The possible effect is interpretation.

Depends on: Anchovy stocks remain scarce near the coast.

Possible consequences, not a forecast. Their relevance depends on your location and the conditions above.

For your country

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What changes the outlook

Risk increases if…

Further drought in Central America could deepen maize and bean losses and increase pressure on water access.

Continued warm coastal conditions could prolong Peru’s reduced anchovy catch and fishing-season disruption.

Pressure eases if…

Improved rainfall could reduce crop stress in affected Central American areas.

Anchovies returning closer to Peru’s coast could allow fishing activity to resume, though no such recovery is established in the material.

Still unclear

The reported material does not establish how long the fishing and crop losses will last beyond the stated El Niño outlook.

It does not quantify total job losses, national food-supply shortfalls or the extent of damage outside the named areas.

Market implications

Market impact

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Sources (1)

References for the reported details. Separate links do not necessarily mean independent confirmation.

[1] Before its peak, El Nino brings failed crops and empty fishing nets ↗aol.co.uk · Article published: Sep 12, 2026, 11:03 AM UTC
Available excerpt
In Peru, unusually warm waters have driven anchovies away from the coast, leaving fishing boats idle and threatening thousands of jobs. Across parts of Central…
A short excerpt from our source record; open the original for the full article.

First tracked by DoomRadar: . AI-assisted analysis · . Based on linked headlines and available excerpts. Methodology · Report an error.